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Gold Analysis – 15.Jun.2026

Gold Analysis – 15.Jun.2026

XAUUSD GOLD EURUSD GBPUSD Forex Gold Master Arman Shaban

Gold Analysis: By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4H timeframe, we can see that the market experienced a major shift after reports regarding a potential agreement between Iran and the United States. Gold opened the week with a massive gap around $4300 and has already rallied toward the $4369 region.

Although the broader bearish structure dominated previous weeks, this geopolitical development has changed sentiment significantly. In fact, one important technical factor still remains: the newly created gap between $4218 and $4280. Sooner or later, the market may revisit this area, but for now buyers are clearly in control.

From a structural perspective, the nearest supply zones are located around $4360 – $4390, followed by a stronger resistance cluster between $4420 – $4460. If bullish momentum continues, the next major resistance area sits around $4500 – $4540.

On the downside, the nearest demand zones are now located around $4300 – $4320, followed by the gap area between $4218 – $4280.

From a fundamental perspective, recent market behavior has been very different from what traditional safe-haven theories would suggest. Over the past months, renewed conflict involving Iran has pushed oil prices higher and surprisingly weighed on Gold. On the other hand, signs of de-escalation and potential agreements have repeatedly supported Gold prices.

Therefore, if a final agreement is officially reached, especially around the June 19 deadline, I believe Gold could enter another major bullish phase in the second half of the year. In that scenario, the current move may be only the beginning of a larger expansion.

Technically, the long-term picture is turning constructive again. In my view, if buyers continue defending higher lows, Gold could revisit $4500, followed by $4700, and potentially challenge the psychological $5000 level again before the end of the year.

For now, despite the existence of the downside gap, the broader outlook has become increasingly bullish and the market will closely monitor upcoming geopolitical developments.

This analysis will be updated as the market evolves.
(This Post on TradingView)

Author : Arman Shaban

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